2020 New Zealand general election

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2020 New Zealand general election

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All 120 seats in the House of Representatives
61 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout2,919,073 (82.24%; Increase 2.49 pp)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Rt_Hon_Jacinda_Ardern.jpg
Judith_Collins.png
Aotearoa New Zealand Green Leadership 2020.jpg
Leader Jacinda Ardern Judith Collins James Shaw
Marama Davidson
Party Labour National Green
Leader's seat Mount Albert Papakura List
Last election 46 seats
36.89%
56 seats
44.45%
8 seats
6.27%
Seats before 46 56 8
Seats won 65 33 10
Seat change Increase 19 Decrease 23 Increase 2
Electorate vote 1,357,501
48.07%

Increase 10.19 pp
963,845
34.13%
Decrease 9.92 pp
162,245
5.74%
Decrease 1.17 pp
Party vote 1,443,545
50.01%

Increase 13.12 pp
738,275
25.58%
Decrease 18.87 pp
226,757
7.86%
Increase 1.59 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
David Seymour at ACT Selection Announcement for Leader and Epsom.jpg
Winston Peters, 2019.jpg
Leader David Seymour John Tamihere
Debbie Ngarewa-Packer
Winston Peters
Party ACT Māori Party NZ First
Leader's seat Epsom Ran in Tāmaki Makaurau (lost)[a]
List
List (lost)
Last election 1 seat
0.50%
0 seats
1.18%
9 seats
7.20%
Seats before 1 0 9
Seats won 10 2 0
Seat change Increase 9 Increase 2 Decrease 9
Electorate vote 97,697
3.46%
Increase 2.45 pp
60,837
2.15%
Increase 0.04 pp
30,209
1.07%
Decrease 4.38 pp
Party vote 219,031
7.59%
Increase 7.08 pp
33,630
1.17%
Decrease 0.01 pp
75,020
2.60%
Decrease 4.60 pp

Map of the general election. Electorate results are shown on the left, Māori electorate results in the centre, and the list members on the right.

Prime Minister before election

Jacinda Ardern
Labour

Subsequent Prime Minister

Jacinda Ardern
Labour

The 2020 New Zealand general election was held after the currently elected 52nd New Zealand Parliament is dissolved or expires. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced the election date as Saturday 17 October 2020.[2]

In the last election, Labour Party, led by Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, formed a minority coalition government with the New Zealand First party.[3]

Incumbent Prime Minister Ardern was re-elected with a Labour landslide victory.[4]

Candidates[change | change source]

Election changes[change | change source]

Electorate boundaries for the next election are due to be redrawn in 2019, after the 2018 census and Māori electoral option. This means that unless a snap election is called before 2019, the next general election will be the first to use boundaries based on the 2018 census.

Opinion polling[change | change source]

Seat projections[change | change source]

Party 2017 election result Roy Morgan[5]
30 Oct – 12 Nov 2017 poll
1 News Colmar Brunton[6]
19–23 May 2018 poll
Radio NZ[7]
5 Jun 2018 poll of polls
Newshub Reid Research[8]
17–24 May 2018 poll
National Party 56 51 58 57 58
Labour Party 46 49 55 54 55
New Zealand First 9 6 0 0 0
Green Party 8 13 6 8 8
ACT 1 1 1 1 1*
Seats in Parliament 120 120 120 120 122
Overall result (majority) National−NZ First (65) Labour−Green (62) Labour−Green (61) Labour−Green (62) Labour–Green (63)
Labour−Green−NZ First (63)
Note: Forecasted seats are currently calculated using the Electoral Commission's MMP seat allocation calculator, based on polling results.

Notes[change | change source]

  1. In late October, after preliminary election results suggested that the only Māori Party seat in parliament would be the Waiariki electorate, held by Rawiri Waititi, the party confirmed Rawiri as its new co-leader, replacing John Tamihere.[1]

References[change | change source]

  1. "Māori Party's Rawiri Waititi replaces John Tamihere as co-leader". RNZ. 29 October 2020. Archived from the original on 1 November 2020. Retrieved 7 November 2020.
  2. Deguara, Brittney (17 August 2020). "Live: Jacinda Ardern delays election to October 17 amid coronavirus outbreak". Stuff. Archived from the original on 17 August 2020. Retrieved 17 August 2020.
  3. Chapman, Grant (19 October 2017). "Full video: NZ First leader Winston Peters announces next Government". Newshub. Retrieved 19 October 2017.
  4. "Jacinda Ardern eyes majority as New Zealand votes". BBC News. 17 October 2020. Retrieved 17 October 2020.
  5. "New PM Jacinda Ardern drives surge in New Zealand Government Confidence". Roy Morgan. Archived from the original on 2018-07-06. Retrieved 2018-07-10.
  6. https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/1-news-colmar-brunton-poll-budget-fails-deliver-boost-labour-but-ardern-up-four-per-cent-preferred-pm 1 News Colmar Brunton
  7. "No Budget lift for Labour in polls but support for PM still strong". Radio New Zealand. 5 June 2018.
  8. "Simon Bridges failing to connect with voters - Newshub poll". 27 May 2018 – via www.newshub.co.nz.