2022 Australian federal election

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2022 Australian federal election

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All 151 seats in the House of Representatives
76 seats are needed for a majority
40 (of the 76) seats in the Senate
Opinion polls
Registered17,213,433
Turnout15,461,379 (89.82%)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Anthony Albanese portrait (cropped).jpg
Prime Minister of Australia Scott Morrison.jpg
Adam-Bandt-profile-2021 (Cropped).png
Leader Anthony Albanese Scott Morrison Adam Bandt
Party Labor Liberal/National Coalition Greens
Leader since 30 May 2019 (2019-05-30) 24 August 2018 (2018-08-24) 4 February 2020 (2020-02-04)
Leader's seat Grayndler (NSW) Cook (NSW) Melbourne (Vic.)
Last election 68 seats, 33.34% 77 seats, 41.44% 1 seat, 10.40%
Seats won 77 seats 58 seats 4 seats
Seat change Increase 9 Decrease 19 Increase 3
First preference vote 4,776,030 5,233,334 1,795,985
Percentage 32.58% 35.70% 12.25%
Swing Decrease 0.76% Decrease 5.74% Increase 1.85%
TPP 52.13% 47.87%
TPP swing Increase 3.66% Decrease 3.66%

Australia General Election, 2022 -- Results by Division.svg
Results by winning party by division for the House of Representatives.

Prime Minister before election

Scott Morrison
Liberal/National coalition

Subsequent Prime Minister

Anthony Albanese
Labor

The 2022 Australian federal election was held on 21 May 2022 to elect members of the 47th Parliament of Australia. All 151 seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, and half the seats in the upper house, the Senate, were up for election.

The incumbent Coalition Government, led by Scott Morrison lost seats to the opposition Labor Party, led by Anthony Albanese. Morrision resigned as National Party leader with Albanese expected to become the next Prime Minister of Australia.

Polling[change | change source]

Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.
Date Brand Interview mode Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTH UND L/NP ALP UND
30–31 October, 6-7 November 2021 Roy Morgan[1] Telephone/Online 2723 36.5% 35% 11.5% 3% 14% 46.5% 53.5%
16–17, 23–24 October 2021 Roy Morgan[2] Telephone/Online 2778 36.5% 35% 13.5% 3.5% 11.5% 46% 54%
20–23 October 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[3] Online 1515[4] 35% 38% 11% 3% 13% 46% 54%
2–3, 9–10 October 2021 Roy Morgan[5] Telephone/Online 2794 37.5% 36% 11.5% 3% 12% 47% 53%
29 September – 2 October 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[6] Online 1545 37% 37% 11% 2% 13% 47% 53%
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 Roy Morgan[7] Telephone/Online 2752 36% 36% 12.5% 3.5% 12% 46% 54%
15–19 September 2021 Resolve Strategic[8] Online 1606 39% 31% 10% 4% 16%
15–18 September 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[9] Online 2144 37% 38% 10% 3% 12% 47% 53%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[10] Telephone/Online 2735 39.5% 35% 13% 3% 10% 47.5% 52.5%
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 Roy Morgan[11] Telephone/Online 2735 37.5% 38.5% 11.5% 3% 9.5% 45.5% 54.5%
25–28 August 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[12] Online 1528 36% 40% 10% 3% 11% 46% 54%
17–21 August 2021 Resolve Strategic[13] Online 1607 40% 32% 12% 2% 14%
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 Roy Morgan[14] Telephone/Online 2747 37.5% 37.5% 12.5% 3.5% 9% 46% 54%
4–7 August 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[15] Online 1527 39% 39% 11% 3% 8% 47% 53%
24–25 July,
31 July – 1 August 2021
Roy Morgan[16] Telephone/Online 2709 37% 37% 12.5% 3% 10.5% 46.5% 53.5%
19 July 2021 Essential[17] Online 37% 36% 10% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47% 8%
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 Roy Morgan[18] Telephone/Online 2737 39% 37% 11.5% 3% 9.5% 47.5% 52.5%
13–17 July 2021 Resolve Strategic[19] Online 1607 38% 35% 12% 4% 12%
14–17 July 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[20] Online 1506 39% 39% 10% 3% 9% 47% 53%
5 July 2021 Essential[17] Online 37% 36% 8% 4% 5% 8% 44% 48% 8%
23–26 June 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[21] Online 1513 41% 37% 11% 3% 8% 49% 51%
22 June 2021 Barnaby Joyce replaces Michael McCormack as National Party leader and Deputy Prime Minister
12–13, 19–20 June 2021 Roy Morgan[22] Telephone/Online 2782 41.5% 34.5% 12% 3.5% 8.5% 49.5% 50.5%
21 June 2021 Essential[17] Online 38% 36% 10% 4% 5% 7% 45% 47% 7%
13 June 2021 Resolve Strategic[23] Online 1600 40% 36% 10% 3% 12%
7 June 2021 Essential[17] Online 38% 35% 10% 4% 7% 7% 44% 48% 7%
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 Roy Morgan[24] Telephone/Online 2817 40% 35.5% 11.5% 3% 10% 49% 51%
2–5 June 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[25] Online 1516 41% 36% 11% 3% 9% 50% 50%
24 May 2021 Essential[17] Online 37% 35% 10% 3% 6% 8% 44% 48% 8%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[26] Online 1622 39% 35% 12% 2% 13%
12–15 May 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[27] Online 1506 41% 36% 12% 2% 9% 49% 51%
10 May 2021 Essential[17] Online 38% 36% 9% 3% 6% 8% 44% 48% 8%
26 April 2021 Essential[17] Online 39% 34% 10% 4% 6% 7% 46% 46% 7%
21–24 April 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[28] Online 1514 41% 38% 10% 3% 8% 49% 51%
16 April 2021 Resolve Strategic[29] CATI/Online 2000 38% 33% 12% 6% 11%
12 April 2021 Essential[17] Online 37% 36% 10% 3% 7% 7% 45% 48% 7%
29 March 2021 Essential[17] Online 39% 36% 8% 3% 7% 7% 46% 47% 7%
24–27 March 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[30] Online 1517 40% 38% 11% 2% 9% 48% 52%
15 March 2021 Essential[17] Online 38% 34% 9% 3% 8% 7% 47% 47% 7%
6–7, 13–14 March 2021 Roy Morgan[31] Telephone/Online 2747 41% 34.5% 12.5% 2.5% 9.5% 49.5% 50.5%
10–13 March 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[32] Online 1521 39% 39% 10% 3% 9% 48% 52%
1 March 2021 Essential[17] Online 37% 34% 9% 4% 8% 7% 45% 48% 7%
17–20 February 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[33] Online 1504 42% 37% 10% 3% 8% 50% 50%
15 February 2021 Essential[17] Online 39% 35% 8% 4% 7% 6% 47% 47% 6%
15 February 2021 2021 Australian Parliament House sexual misconduct allegations
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 Roy Morgan[34] Telephone/Online 2786 40% 34.5% 13% 3.5% 9% 49.5% 50.5%
27 January – 1 February 2021 Essential[35][36] Online 1092 37% 35% 10% 3% 7% 8% 44% 47% 8%
27–30 January 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[37] Online 1512 42% 36% 10% 3% 9% 50% 50%
18 January 2021 Essential[35] Online 40% 33% 10% 3% 7% 7% 48% 45% 7%
14 December 2020 Essential[35] Online 37% 35% 8% 4% 7% 9% 45% 46% 9%
30 November 2020 Essential[35] Online 41% 33% 8% 4% 6% 8% 49% 43% 8%
25–28 November 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[38] Online 1511 43% 36% 11% 2% 8% 51% 49%
16 November 2020 Essential[35] Online 38% 35% 9% 4% 6% 7% 45% 47% 7%
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 Roy Morgan[39] Telephone/Online 2824 42% 34% 12% 4% 8% 50.5% 49.5%
4–7 November 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[40] Online 1510 43% 35% 11% 3% 8% 51% 49%
2 November 2020 Essential[35] Online 39% 35% 9% 3% 5% 9% 44% 46% 9%
14–19 October 2020 Essential[41] Online 39% 35% 9% 3% 7% 8% 48% 45% 8%
12 October 2020 Essential[41] Online 40% 33% 9% 3% 5% 9% 47% 44% 9%
8–10 October 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[42] Online 1527 44% 34% 11% 3% 8% 52% 48%
5 October 2020 Essential[41] Online 39% 34% 9% 5% 6% 7% 47% 46% 7%
21 September 2020 Essential[41] Online 41% 31% 10% 4% 5% 9% 49% 42% 8%
16–19 September 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[43] Online 2068 43% 34% 12% 3% 8% 51% 49%
7 September 2020 Essential[41] Online 38% 32% 10% 3% 9% 8% 45% 47% 8%
26–29 August 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[44] Online 1507 41% 36% 11% 3% 9% 50% 50%
24 August 2020 Essential[41] Online 39% 35% 9% 4% 6% 7% 47% 45% 7%
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 Roy Morgan[45] Telephone/Online 2841 46% 32.5% 11% 3% 7.5% 54% 46%
10 August 2020 Essential[41] Online 38% 34% 9% 4% 5% 10% 46% 44% 10%
5–8 August 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[46] Online 1509 43% 33% 11% 4% 9% 52% 48%
23–26 July 2020 Essential[47] Online 1058 38% 35% 9% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47% 8%
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 Roy Morgan[48] Telephone/Online 2589 43.5% 33.5% 11% 2.5% 9.5% 51.5% 48.5%
15–18 July 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[49] Online 1850 44% 34% 10% 4% 8% 53% 47%
13 July 2020 Essential[47] Online 1054 37% 34% 10% 4% 6% 9% 45% 46% 9%
29 June 2020 Essential[47] Online 1079 39% 33% 9% 4% 6% 8% 47% 45% 8%
24–27 June 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[50] Online 1521 42% 35% 11% 3% 9% 51% 49%
22 June 2020 Essential[47] Online 1079 39% 33% 10% 5% 6% 7% 48% 46% 7%
13–14, 20–21 June 2020 Roy Morgan[51] Telephone/Online 2593 42.5% 34.5% 10.5% 4% 8.5% 50.5% 49.5%
15 June 2020 Essential[47] Online 1087 38% 35% 9% 5% 7% 7% 47% 47% 7%
8 June 2020 Essential[47] Online 1073 40% 33% 9% 4% 6% 8% 47% 45% 8%
3–6 June 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[52] Online 1512 42% 34% 12% 4% 8% 51% 49%
13–16 May 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[53] Online 1504 43% 35% 10% 3% 9% 51% 49%
18–19, 25–26 April 2020 Roy Morgan[54] Telephone/Online 2806 43.5% 33% 11.5% 3% 9% 51.5% 48.5%
22–25 April 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[55] Online 1519 41% 36% 12% 4% 7% 50% 50%
1–3 April 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[56] Online 1508 42% 34% 13% 5% 6% 51% 49%
11–14 March 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[57] Online 1501 40% 36% 12% 4% 8% 49% 51%
27 February 2020 COVID-19 pandemic declared a national emergency
19–22 February 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[58] Online 1513 38% 34% 13% 4% 11% 49% 51%
20 January – 3 February 2020 Australian National University[59] CATI/Online 3249 34.8% 33.4% 14.7% 10.5%
4 February 2020 Adam Bandt replaces Richard Di Natale as Greens leader
29 January – 1 February 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[60] Online 1510 38% 35% 13% 4% 10% 48% 52%
8–11 January 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[61] Online 1505 40% 36% 12% 4% 8% 49% 51%
January 2020 Australian bushfire season peaks
4–8 December 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[62] Online 1503 42% 33% 11% 5% 9% 52% 48%
21–23 November 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[63] Online[64] 1519 41% 33% 12% 5% 9% 51% 49%
7–10 November 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[65] IVR/Online 1682 40% 35% 12% 7% 6% 50% 50%
17–20 October 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[66] IVR/Online 1634 42% 33% 13% 6% 6% 51% 49%
26–29 September 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[67] IVR/Online 1658 42% 33% 13% 6% 6% 51% 49%
5–7 September 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[68] IVR/Online 1661 43% 35% 12% 5% 5% 51% 49%
15–18 August 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[69] IVR/Online 1623 42% 34% 11% 4% 9% 51% 49%
25–28 July 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[70] IVR/Online 1601 44% 33% 11% 3% 9% 53% 47%
30 May 2019 Anthony Albanese replaces Bill Shorten as Labor leader
18 May 2019 election 41.44% 33.34% 10.4% 3.08% 11.74% N/A 51.53% 48.47% N/A

Notes[change | change source]

References[change | change source]

  1. "ALP (53.5%) lead over the L-NP (46.5%) cut slightly as PM Scott Morrison attends G20 & COP26 meetings". Roy Morgan. Archived from the original on 2021-11-11. Retrieved 2021-11-12.
  2. "ALP (54%) increases lead over the L-NP (46%) as the Federal Government discusses "Net Zero" carbon dioxide emissions". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2021-10-15.
  3. Benson, Simon (24 October 2021). "Newspoll: Support slumps as Scott Morrison leaves for Glasgow". The Australian. Retrieved 25 October 2021.
  4. "Newspoll Public Polling Methodology Statement, 25th October 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Archived from the original (PDF) on 30 October 2021. Retrieved 30 October 2021.
  5. "ALP (53%) lead over the L-NP (47%) narrowed slightly before Sydney re-opened this week". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2021-10-15.
  6. Benson, Simon (3 October 2021). "Newspoll: More voters turning towards the fringes". The Australian. Retrieved 3 October 2021.
  7. "ALP (54%) increases lead over the L-NP (46%) after 'AUKUS' submarine deal is announced in mid-September". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 30 September 2021.
  8. Resolve Strategic: Coalition 39, Labor 31, Greens 10 – The Poll Bludger
  9. Benson, Simon (19 September 2021). "Newspoll: Scott Morrison and Albanese lose support to minor parties". The Australian. Retrieved 19 September 2021.
  10. "L-NP (47.5%) gains ground on the ALP (52.5%) after PM Morrison calls on States to stick to re-opening plans". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 16 September 2021.
  11. "ALP (54.5%) increases lead over L-NP (45.5%) for third straight interviewing period". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 1 September 2021.
  12. Benson, Simon (29 August 2021). "Newspoll: Coalition's fortunes fall as Scott Morrison on the rise". The Australian. Retrieved 30 August 2021.
  13. Crowe, David (24 August 2021). "Coalition gains on pandemic management as Morrison holds ground, Labor vote falls". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 24 August 2021.
  14. "ALP (54%) increases lead over L-NP (46%) – as Melbourne and Sydney lockdowns continue". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2021-08-18.
  15. Benson, Simon (8 August 2021). "Newspoll: Delta debacle drives Scott Morrison's ratings to new low". The Australian. Retrieved 8 August 2021.
  16. "ALP (53.5%) increases lead over L-NP (46.5%) – largest ALP lead since the bushfires in early 2020". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2021-08-04.
  17. 17.00 17.01 17.02 17.03 17.04 17.05 17.06 17.07 17.08 17.09 17.10 17.11 "Federal voting intention". The Essential Report. 20 July 2021.
  18. "ALP (52.5%) stretches lead over L-NP (47.5%) after Sydney and Melbourne extend lockdowns". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2021-07-25.
  19. Crowe, David (20 July 2021). "Vaccine rollout stumbles lead to slight drop in support for Coalition". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 20 July 2021.
  20. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Coalition, PM marked down as vaccine frustration builds". The Australian. Retrieved 2021-07-18.
  21. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Coalition, Scott Morrison hold firm despite Covid crises, Nationals spill". The Australian. Retrieved 2021-06-27.
  22. "ALP (50.5%) leads L-NP (49.5%) on a two-party preferred basis – no bounce for PM from G7 trip". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2021-06-24.
  23. Crowe, David (15 June 2021). "Vaccine rollout stumbles lead to slight drop in support for Coalition". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 15 June 2021.
  24. "ALP (51%) leads L-NP (49%) on a two-party preferred basis the back of big lead in Victoria". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2021-06-09.
  25. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Parties level pegging but Morrison slides". The Australian. Retrieved 2021-06-06.
  26. Crowe, David (17 May 2021). "Voters warn Scott Morrison not to rush to an early election". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 17 May 2021.
  27. Benson, Simon. "Voters rate Josh Frydenberg's budget the best since the days of Peter Costello". The Australian. Retrieved 2021-04-25.
  28. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Coalition lifts as support for Morrison rebounds". The Australian. Retrieved 2021-04-25.
  29. Crowe, David (20 April 2021). "Voters swing against Coalition but Morrison still preferred PM". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 20 April 2021.
  30. Benson, Simon (28 February 2021). "Morrison cops backlash over treatment of women". The Australian.
  31. "ALP (50.5%) retains lead over L-NP (49.5%) as 'Gender Gap' now favours ALP". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 17 March 2021.
  32. Benson, Simon (21 February 2021). "Labor hits lead after a dose of Newspoll reality for Coalition". The Australian.
  33. Benson, Simon (21 February 2021). "Newspoll: Scott Morrison rides high on rollout as Anthony Albanese takes a hit". The Australian.
  34. "ALP (50.5%) gains lead over L-NP (49.5%) on the back of strength in Victoria, Queensland & WA". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 19 February 2021.
  35. 35.0 35.1 35.2 35.3 35.4 35.5 Lewis, Peter (2021-02-02). "Labor's promise to be 'on your side' is compelling and could win them an election | Peter Lewis". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2021-02-02.
  36. "two party preferred Archives". The Essential Report. Retrieved 2021-04-06.
  37. Benson, Simon (31 January 2021). "Newspoll: Border blues hit Scott Morrison as Labor gains". The Australian.
  38. Benson, Simon. "Scott Morrison on a high as border bans removed". The Australian.
  39. "L-NP (50.5%) has narrow lead over ALP (49.5%) in November as Australia gets set for a 'COVID-normal' Christmas". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 24 November 2020.
  40. Benson, Simon. "Scott Morrison dominates resurgent Anthony Albanese in Newspoll". The Australian.
  41. 41.0 41.1 41.2 41.3 41.4 41.5 41.6 "The Essential Report". Archived from the original on 22 October 2020. Retrieved 20 October 2020.
  42. Benson, Simon. "Nation backs PM's cash splash". The Australian.
  43. Benson, Simon (20 September 2020). "Coalition bounces back as voters desert Labor". The Australian.
  44. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Scott Morrison's numbers dip as voters back premiers' rights". The Australian.
  45. "L-NP (54%) widens lead over ALP (46%) in mid-August as Victoria and NSW grapple with second wave of COVID-19". Roy Morgan. 21 August 2020.
  46. Benson, Simon (9 August 2020). "Scott Morrison weathers storm as virus wreaks havoc". The Australian.
  47. 47.0 47.1 47.2 47.3 47.4 47.5 "The Essential Report" (PDF). Retrieved 29 July 2020.
  48. "L-NP (51.5%) increases lead over ALP (48.5%) in mid-July as second wave of COVID-19 hits Victoria". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2020-07-26.
  49. Benson, Simon. "Morrison flying high as Coalition drives recovery". The Australian.
  50. Benson, Simon (28 June 2020). "Record approval for PM as by-election looms in Eden". The Australian.
  51. "L-NP (50.5%) holds narrow lead over ALP (49.5%) a week before the Eden-Monaro by-election". Roy Morgan Research.
  52. "Newspoll: PM's record approval rating defies bad news". www.theaustralian.com.au. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  53. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Coalition rides wave of support as fears subside". The Australian.
  54. "L-NP (51.5%) now ahead of ALP (48.5%) and Government Confidence soars 34pts in April as Australia faces COVID-19". Roy Morgan Research.
  55. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Support for PM soars, but Coalition flatlines". The Australian.
  56. Benson, Simon (15 March 2020). "Newspoll: Record turnaround for Scott Morrison and universal support for wage subsidy". The Australian.
  57. Benson, Simon (15 March 2020). "Scott Morrison backed but voters fearful over economy, health". The Australian.
  58. Benson, Simon (23 February 2020). "Coalition closes gap on Labor, Albanese slides". The Australian.
  59. Biddle, Nicholas (18 February 2020). "Exposure and the impact on attitudes of the 2019-20 bushfires" (PDF). Australian National University. Retrieved 18 February 2020.
  60. Benson, Simon (2 February 2020). "Newspoll: Coalition vote gets burnt by fires, rorts". The Australian. Retrieved 2 February 2020.
  61. Benson, Simon (12 January 2020). "Newspoll: Scott Morrison takes a hit in bushfires backlash". The Australian. Retrieved 13 January 2020.
  62. Benson, Simon (8 December 2019). "Newspoll: Coalition on a high but Albanese claws back voter support". The Australian. Retrieved 8 December 2019.
  63. Benson, Simon (24 November 2019). "Newspoll: The Coalition nudges ahead in poll revamp". The Australian. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  64. White, Campbell (24 November 2019). "Newspoll: Polling changes with the aim of getting it right". The Australian. Retrieved 3 January 2020.
  65. Benson, Simon (10 November 2019). "Newspoll: ALP draws level as drought hits hard". The Australian. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
  66. Benson, Simon (20 October 2018). "Coalition shrugs off critics, keeps ALP at bay". The Australian. Retrieved 22 October 2019.
  67. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: ALP sheds support but Albanese turns tide". The Australian. Retrieved 29 September 2019.
  68. Benson, Simon. "Slide puts Albanese into negative territory". The Australian. Retrieved 8 September 2019.
  69. Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Post-poll reality check for Coalition". The Australian. Retrieved 18 August 2019.
  70. Benson, Simon (28 July 2019). "Election 2019: Scott Morrison gets Post election surge as voters swing behind him". The Australian. Retrieved 28 July 2019.