2023 Ecuadorian general election
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
Presidential election | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
|
Snap general elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador in August 2023.[1] Current president Guillermo Lasso was eligible for a second term, however he declined to run.[2]
The officials elected — to both the executive and legislative branches — will serve out the remainder of the current presidential and legislative terms (2021–2025). A regular election for a full four-year term will happen in early 2025.[3]
Originally scheduled for 2025, the general elections were moved forward earlier after President Lasso used the muerte cruzada measure which dissolved the National Assembly to avoid impeachment.[4]
Advancing to the 15 October run-off, Luisa González of the Citizen Revolution Movement came in first place, winning 33% of the vote with Daniel Noboa of the National Democratic Action coming in second place with 24% of the vote. Noboa's second place finish was seen as surprising and an upset. Noboa ended up beating González with 52% of the votes in the runoff election, a similar result to that of Guillermo Lasso in 2021, making Noboa the President-elect of Ecuador.[5] At 35 years old, he is the youngest president in the country's history.[6][7]
Presidential candidates
[change | change source]Declared
[change | change source]Name | Born | Experience | Announced | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|
March 19, 1983 (age 41) | Vice President of Ecuador (2018–2020) | May 18, 2023 | [8] | |
February 26, 1969 (age 55) | Provincial Prefect of Azuay Province (2019–2020) and 2021 presidential candidate |
May 25, 2023 | [9] | |
April 23, 1983 (age 41) | Businessman | May 21, 2023 | [10] | |
November 30, 1987 (age 36) | Member of the National Assembly (2021–2023) | May 24, 2023 | [11] | |
Bolívar Armijos Velasco |
1980 (age 44) |
President of CONAGOPARE (2014–2019) | May 29, 2023 | [12] |
October 7, 1972 (age 52) |
President of NovaAlimentos S.A. | June 8, 2023 | [13] | |
Christian Zurita |
4 April 1970 (age 54) Quito, Pichincha |
Investigative journalist | 13 August 2023 | [14] |
November 22, 1977 (age 47) | Member of the National Assembly (2021–2023) | June 10, 2023 | [15][16][17][18] |
Deceased
[change | change source]Name | Personal | Experience | Home province | Vice President | Campaign | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fernando Villavicencio |
11 October 1963 – 9 August 2023 (aged 59) |
Member of the National Assembly (2021–2023) |
Chimborazo | Andrea González Náder | Endorsed by: MC25 Announced: 17 May 2023 Concluded: 9 August 2023 |
[19][20] |
Declined
[change | change source]- Guillermo Lasso, the incumbent president of Ecuador (since 2021) and founder of CREO.[21][22]
- Jaime Nebot, Mayor of Guayaquil (2000–2019), member of the National Congress (1990–1992, 1998–2000), Governor of Guayas Province (1984–1988) and 1992 and 1996 presidential candidate (party endorsed Topic).[10]
- Andrés Arauz, President of the Citizen Revolution Movement (2020–2021) and 2021 presidential candidate (runs for vice presidency).[23][24]
- Jorge Glas, Vice President of Ecuador (2013-2018) (declines his nomination and endorses González).[25]
Polling
[change | change source]Run-of
[change | change source]Date | Pollster | Participants | Margin of error |
Daniel Noboa | Luisa González | Blank | Null | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 October | Omar Maluk [26][27] | 16,486 | 3% | 50.9% | 49.1% | --- | ||
47.8% | 46.1% | 6.1% | -- | |||||
15 October [projection] | CIT Peru[28] | 1,200 | 2,8% | 49,14% | 50,86% | --- | ||
50,42% | 49,52% | --- | ||||||
12 October | 45% | 44,02% | 10,8% | --- | ||||
10 October | Dado Duro EC[29] | 1,485 | 2,8% | 38.6% | 39.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | |
9 October | Negocios & Estratégias [30] | 1,000 | 3.1% | 49.94% | 50.06% | --- | ||
6 October | Six suspects in the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio are killed in Guayaquil Pennitenciary.[31] | |||||||
5 October | Omar Maluk[32] | 11,235 | 3% | 48.9% | 51.1% | --- | ||
4 October | NEO Consulta[33] | 3,750 | 1.6% | 48.9% | 51.1% | --- | ||
4 October | Negocios & Estratégias[34] | 3,000 | 1.8% | 44% | 42.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | |
1 October | Official Second Round Presidential Debate is held in Quito. | |||||||
15 September | Omar Maluk[35] | 8,000 | 2% | 52.3% | 47.7% | – | – | – |
10 September | Comunicaliza[36] | 5,381 | 1.3% | 39.7% | 34.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | |
6 September | Click Report[37] | 3,040 | 3% | 55.2% | 44.8% | – | – | |
45.8% | 37.2% | 12.5% | 4.5% | – | ||||
5 September | NEO Consulta[38] | 2,100 | 2.1% | 49.6% | 50.4% | – | – | – |
42.0% | 42.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | – | ||||
2 September | Comunicaliza[39] | 6,002 | 1.3% | 54.9% | 45.1% | – | 12.9% | |
43.1% | 35.4% | 8.6% |
First round
[change | change source]Date | Pollster | Participants | Margin of error | Noboa | González | Sonnenholzner | Pérez | Villavicencio | Zurita | Hervas | Topić | Armijos | Blank | Null | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 general election | 20 August 2023 | — | — | 23.47% | 33.61% | 7.06% | 3.97% | — | 16.37% | 0.49% | 14.67% | 0.36% | 2.04 | 6.77 | — |
11–12 August | Comunicaliza[40] | 3,641 | 1.62% | 3.3% | 24.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | — | 14.5% | 1.6% | 21.7% | 0.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | |
Fernando Villavicencio is assassinated at a campaign rally in Quito and, subsequently, replaced by Zurita. | |||||||||||||||
9 August | Cedatos[41] | 1,803 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 35.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 18.4% | – | 4.1% | 18% | 0.9% | – | – | – |
2.5% | 24% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | – | 2.8% | 12.2% | 0.6% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 17.5% | ||||
6 August | Click Report[42] | 3,040 | 3% | 6.8% | 29.3% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 7.5% | – | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 16.9% | 3.2% | – |
5 August | Telcodata[43] | 6,600 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 30.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | – | 1.6% | 13.1% | 0.2% | 7.6% | 23.8% | |
2 August | IPSOS[43] | 2,490 | 1.96% | 4% | 29% | 16% | 10% | 12% | – | 5% | 9% | 1% | 11% | 5% | |
2 August | Telcodata[44] | 6,631 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 29.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | – | 2.2% | 10.1% | 0.3% | 7.5% | 23.9% | |
27 July | Tracking[45] | 1,250 | 5% | 3.2% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | – | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 14.1% | 2.6% | 9.2% |
26 July | Comunicaliza[46] | 3,539 | 1.7% | 4.2% | 28.6% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | – | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | |
23 July | Agustín Intriago, Mayor of Manta, is assassinted. | ||||||||||||||
20 July | Estrategas Infinity[47] | 1,549 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 30.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | – | 5.0% | 5.2% | 0.3% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 11.0% |
18 July | Cedatos[48] | 1,300 | 3.1% | 4.4% | 26.6% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | – | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 16.1% | 7.6% |
9 July | Numma[49] | 1,604 | 2.7% | 6.4% | 33.8% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 10.2% | – | 6.9% | 8.5% | 1.6% | – | – | – |
3–9 July | Tracking[50] | 1,250 | 5% | 4.6% | 24.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | – | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 10.3% | 15.3% | |
20 June–8 July | Omar Maluk[51] | 7,106 | 3% | 4.4% | 40.1% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 9.1% | – | 10.3% | 7.1% | 0.6% | – | – | – |
3.7% | 33.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.7% | – | 8.7% | 6.0% | 0.5% | 5.9% | 9.8% | |||||
5–6 July | Comunicaliza[52] | 3,314 | 1.7% | 4.5% | 26.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | – | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 12.1% | 14.1% | |
26 June–3 July | Metria[53] | 1,200 | 2.8% | 3.1% | 37.8% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | – | 1.7% | 6.5% | ›1% | 10.1% | – | 4.0% |
22–26 June | Negocios & Estrategias[54][55] | 3,524 | 1.7% | 4% | 52% | 14% | 13% | 4% | – | 9% | 5% | 0% | – | – | – |
3% | 41% | 11% | 10% | 7% | – | 3% | 4% | 0% | 21% | – | |||||
1% | 30% | 8% | 8% | 5% | – | 2% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 38% | |||||
23–26 June | Mercanalis[56] | 4,000 | 3% | 7% | 38% | 9% | 12% | 10% | – | 8% | 14% | 2% | – | – | – |
5% | 27% | 6% | 9% | 7% | – | 5% | 10% | 1% | 12% | 18% | – | ||||
20–24 June | Data Encuesta[57][58] | 4,200 | 3.4% | 5.2% | 28.1% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 9.3% | – | 7.3% | 14.8% | – | – | – | 9.1% |
19–20 June | Estrategas Infinity[59] | 3,645 | 1.62% | 4.3% | 28.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | – | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 3.9% | 15.9% | 11.8% |
16–18 June | Comunicaliza[60] | 3,656 | 1.62% | 3.8% | 25.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | – | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 13.2% | 18.4% | |
5–9 June | Data Encuesta[61] | 4,800 | 3.4% | 4.2% | 27.8% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 7.1% | – | 6.2% | 14.2% | – | – | – | 17.9% |
Results
[change | change source]Candidate | Running mate | Party | First round | Second round | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
Luisa González | Andrés Arauz | Citizen Revolution Movement | 3,315,663 | 33.61 | 4,700,972 | 47.90 | |
Daniel Noboa | Verónica Abad Rojas | National Democratic Action | 2,315,296 | 23.47 | 5,112,683 | 52.10 | |
Christian Zurita | Andrea González Náder | Movimiento Construye | 1,614,434 | 16.37 | |||
Jan Topić | Diana Jácome Silva | Por Un País Sin Miedo | 1,446,812 | 14.67 | |||
Otto Sonnenholzner | Erika Paredes Sánchez | Actuemos | 696,548 | 7.06 | |||
Yaku Pérez | Nory Pinela Morán | Claro Que Se Puede | 391,674 | 3.97 | |||
Xavier Hervas | Luz Marina Vega Conejo | RETO Movement | 48,428 | 0.49 | |||
Bolívar Armijos | Linda Romero Espinoza | AMIGO Movement | 35,785 | 0.36 | |||
Total | 9,864,640 | 100.00 | 9,813,655 | 100.00 | |||
Valid votes | 9,864,640 | 91.17 | |||||
Invalid/blank votes | 954,835 | 8.83 | |||||
Total votes | 10,819,475 | 100.00 | |||||
Registered voters/turnout | 13,045,553 | 82.94 | |||||
Source: CNE |
References
[change | change source]- ↑ "Lasso quisiera gobernar nuevamente en 2025". Radio La Calle (in Spanish). 2022-02-22. Retrieved 2022-03-19.
- ↑ "Guillermo Lasso no descarta buscar la reelección en el 2025 - Radio Pichincha". Pichincha Comunicaciones EP (in Spanish). 2022-02-22. Archived from the original on 2022-02-23. Retrieved 2022-03-19.
- ↑ "Ecuador deberá vivir un proceso eleccionario en pocos meses. ¿Guillermo Lasso se puede presentar a elecciones?". El Universo. 17 May 2023. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
- ↑ Valencia, Alexandra (2023-05-17). "Ecuador president dissolves legislature, bringing elections forward". Reuters. Retrieved 2023-05-17.
- ↑ "Daniel Noboa, presidente electo de Ecuador con el 87% de actas escrutadas". Metro Ecuador. 15 October 2023. Archived from the original on 16 October 2023. Retrieved 15 October 2023.
- ↑ "Daniel Noboa elected Ecuador's youngest president". BBC. 15 October 2023. Archived from the original on 16 October 2023. Retrieved 15 October 2023.
- ↑ "Noboa wins Ecuador presidential race, pledges to rebuild country". Reuters. 15 October 2023. Archived from the original on 16 October 2023. Retrieved 15 October 2023.
- ↑ "Más actores políticos anuncian su intención de candidatizarse para presidente de Ecuador". Vistazo. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
- ↑ "YAKU PÉREZ Y GUSTAVO LARREA CONSOLIDAN UN ACUERDO POLÍTICO ENTRE SOMOS AGUA Y DEMOCRACIA SÍ". PlanV. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 "El PSC decide no presentar candidato presidencial y respalda a Jan Topic". www.expreso.ec. Retrieved 2023-05-21.
- ↑ "Daniel Noboa anuncia su candidatura a la presidencia: "Soy un hombre de proyectos que no se rinde"". Vistazo. Retrieved 27 May 2023.
- ↑ "Binomio Armijos-Romero acepta precandidatura a la Presidencia de la República para los comicios de agosto próximo" (in Spanish). El Universo. June 8, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
- ↑ "Binomio presidencial Xavier Hervas-Luz Marina Vega queda en firme; CNE negó objeción de la Revolución Ciudadana" (in Spanish). La Hora. June 19, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
- ↑ "Ecuadorian Journalist to Take Assassinated Candidate's Place on Presidential Ticket". Time. 2023-08-14. Archived from the original on 14 August 2023. Retrieved 2023-08-14.
- ↑ Redacción (2023-05-23). "Elecciones Ecuador 2023: entre Andrés Arauz, Carlos Rabascal y Luisa González está el candidato del correísmo a la Presidencia". www.ecuavisa.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-05-28.
- ↑ Tapia, Ximena (2023-06-10). "Luisa González y Andrés Arauz son el binomio presidencial del correísmo". El Comercio (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-06-10.
- ↑ "Revolución Ciudadana define a Luisa González y Andrés Arauz como su binomio tras la declinación de Jorge Glas". El Universo (in Spanish). 2023-06-10. Retrieved 2023-06-10.
- ↑ "¿Quién es Luisa González, la carta a la Presidencia por la Revolución Ciudadana?". www.expreso.ec. Retrieved 2023-06-10.
- ↑ "Fernando Villavicencio, el primer político que habla de una candidatura presidencial tras la muerte cruzada" (in Spanish). El Universo. 17 May 2023. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
- ↑ "Asesina al candidato a la presidencia de Ecuador Fernando Villavicencio" (in Spanish). El Tiempo. 9 August 2023. Archived from the original on 10 August 2023. Retrieved 10 August 2023.
- ↑ "Presidente Guillermo Lasso reveló que no será candidato en estas elecciones". El Telégrafo. 19 May 2023. Retrieved 19 May 2023.
- ↑ "After dissolving legislature, Ecuador's president says he's leaving, too". The Washington Post. 19 May 2023. Retrieved 19 May 2023.
- ↑ "«Soy un soldado de este proyecto; yo estaré en donde la historia me asigne»: Andrés Arauz". La Hora (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 May 2023.
- ↑ "Andrés Arauz: Mi interés no es la candidatura, es la Presidencia del Ecuador". El Universo (in Spanish). 2023-05-23. Retrieved 2023-05-23.
- ↑ "Jorge Glas declina ser candidato presidencial del correísmo – DW – 10/06/2023". dw.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-06-10.
- ↑ "MALUK RESEARCH" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-10-16.
- ↑ "Log in or sign up to view". m.facebook.com. Retrieved 2023-10-16.
- ↑ Noticia, La (2023-10-14). "CIT PERÚ: candidatos de elecciones en Ecuador obtienen empate técnico tras simulacro de votación". La Noticia (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-10-15.
- ↑ "Existe un empate técnico". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved 2023-10-13.
- ↑ "Log in or sign up to view". m.facebook.com. Retrieved 2023-10-13.
- ↑ "Followers who are interested in the closing of my poll". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved 2023-10-16.
- ↑ "Última encuesta de @omarmaluk cerrada anoche". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved 2023-10-13.
- ↑ "Log in or sign up to view". m.facebook.com. Retrieved 2023-10-13.
- ↑ "#EleccionesEcuador2023 Ficha técnica y gráfico principal". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved 2023-10-13.
- ↑ Ecuador en Directo TV / Facebook / Lisa Sigue Subiendo / 14 September 2023
- ↑ "Comunicaliza Poll" (in Spanish). Comunicaliza. Retrieved 13 September 2023.
- ↑ "Click Report Poll" (in Spanish). Twitter. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
- ↑ "NEO Consulta Poll" (in Spanish). NEO. Retrieved 7 September 2023.
- ↑ "Comunicaliza Poll" (in Spanish). Couminicaliza. 2 September 2023. Retrieved 7 September 2023.
- ↑ "Encuestas" (PDF) (in Spanish). ASCOA. Archived (PDF) from the original on 16 August 2023. Retrieved 16 August 2023.
- ↑ "ESTUDIO OPINIÓN – ELECCIONES PRESIDENCIALES – cerrado a Agosto 9, 2023" (in Spanish). Cedatos. 11 August 2023. Archived from the original on 13 August 2023. Retrieved 14 August 2023.
- ↑ "Según encuestas, la única certeza es que el correísmo encabeza lid presidencial" (in Spanish). Primicias. Archived from the original on 11 August 2023. Retrieved 11 August 2023.
- ↑ 43.0 43.1 "Lo que DEBES saber sobre las ELECCIONES y la JUSTICIA". IPSOS. Archived from the original on 7 August 2023. Retrieved 8 August 2023.
- ↑ "Telcodata Poll". Louis Alexandre. Archived from the original on 3 August 2023. Retrieved 3 August 2023.
- ↑ "¿Habrá SEGUNDA vuelta? Esto dicen las ENCUESTAS". Cafe la Posta. Archived from the original on 28 July 2023. Retrieved 28 July 2023.
- ↑ "Comunicaliza Presidential poll". Twitter. Archived from the original on 27 July 2023. Retrieved 27 July 2023.
- ↑ "Nueva encuesta ubica a Luisa González como favorita para ganar las elecciones". Radio Pichincha. 27 July 2023. Archived from the original on 28 July 2023. Retrieved 28 July 2023.
- ↑ "Villavicencio iría a segunda vuelta con Luisa, si las elecciones fueran hoy, según Cedatos" (in Spanish). La Republica. 21 July 2023. Archived from the original on 25 July 2023. Retrieved 26 July 2023.
- ↑ "Candidata Luisa González lidera intención de voto, según encuesta Numma" (in Spanish). Radio Pichincha. 21 July 2023. Archived from the original on 23 July 2023. Retrieved 24 July 2023.
- ↑ "Tracking Poll". Facebook. Archived from the original on 17 July 2023. Retrieved 17 July 2023.
- ↑ "Omar Maluk Poll". Twitter. Archived from the original on 11 July 2023. Retrieved 8 July 2023.
- ↑ "Comunicaliza poll". La Defensa Ecuador. Retrieved 6 July 2023.
- ↑ "Metria poll". Metria. Archived from the original on 11 July 2023. Retrieved 3 July 2023.
- ↑ "Negocios & Estrategias poll". Negocios & Estrategias. Archived from the original on 3 July 2023. Retrieved 26 June 2023.
- ↑ "Ecuador, presidential election, Negocio & Estrategias poll". Negocio & Estrategias. Archived from the original on 13 July 2023. Retrieved 26 June 2023.
- ↑ "Mercanalis poll". Mercanalis. Archived from the original on 7 July 2023. Retrieved 26 June 2023.
- ↑ "Data Encuesta poll". Data Encuesta. Archived from the original on 3 July 2023. Retrieved 24 June 2023.
- ↑ "Data Encuesta poll". Tinoelectoral. Retrieved 24 June 2023.
- ↑ "Estrategas Infinity presidential poll". Estrategas Infinity. Archived from the original on 26 June 2023. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
- ↑ "Alfaromontero". Amarchante. Archived from the original on 10 August 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
- ↑ "Data Encuesta Poll". Diari Opinion. Archived from the original on 23 June 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.