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2023 Ecuadorian general election

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  • 20 August 2023 (first round)
  • 15 October 2023 (second round)
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Presidential election
 
Candidate Daniel Noboa Luisa González
Party National Democratic Action (Ecuador) Citizen Revolution Movement
Running mate Verónica Abad Rojas Andrés Arauz
Popular vote 5,251,695 4,880,525
Percentage 51.83% 48.17%


President before election

Guillermo Lasso
CREO

Elected President

Daniel Noboa
National Democratic Action (Ecuador)

Snap general elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador in August 2023.[1] Current president Guillermo Lasso was eligible for a second term, however he declined to run.[2]

The officials elected — to both the executive and legislative branches — will serve out the remainder of the current presidential and legislative terms (2021–2025). A regular election for a full four-year term will happen in early 2025.[3]

Originally scheduled for 2025, the general elections were moved forward earlier after President Lasso used the muerte cruzada measure which dissolved the National Assembly to avoid impeachment.[4]

Advancing to the 15 October run-off, Luisa González of the Citizen Revolution Movement came in first place, winning 33% of the vote with Daniel Noboa of the National Democratic Action coming in second place with 24% of the vote. Noboa's second place finish was seen as surprising and an upset. Noboa ended up beating González with 52% of the votes in the runoff election, a similar result to that of Guillermo Lasso in 2021, making Noboa the President-elect of Ecuador.[5] At 35 years old, he is the youngest president in the country's history.[6][7]

Presidential candidates

[change | change source]

Declared

[change | change source]
Name Born Experience Announced Ref

Otto Sonnenholzner

March 19, 1983 (age 41)

Guayaquil, Guayas

Vice President of Ecuador (2018–2020) May 18, 2023 [8]

Yaku Pérez Guartambel

February 26, 1969 (age 55)

Cuenca, Azuay

Provincial Prefect of Azuay Province (2019–2020)
and 2021 presidential candidate
May 25, 2023 [9]

Jan Topić

April 23, 1983 (age 41)

Guayaquil, Guayas

Businessman May 21, 2023 [10]

Daniel Noboa Azín

November 30, 1987 (age 36)

Guayaquil, Guayas

Member of the National Assembly (2021–2023) May 24, 2023 [11]

Bolívar Armijos Velasco

1980
(age 44)

San Lorenzo, Esmeraldas

President of CONAGOPARE (2014–2019) May 29, 2023 [12]

Xavier Hervas

October 7, 1972
(age 52)

Guayaquil, Guayas

President of NovaAlimentos S.A. June 8, 2023 [13]

Christian Zurita
4 April 1970
(age 54)
Quito, Pichincha
Investigative journalist 13 August 2023 [14]

Luisa González

November 22, 1977 (age 47)

Quito, Pichincha

Member of the National Assembly (2021–2023) June 10, 2023 [15][16][17][18]

Deceased

[change | change source]
Name Personal Experience Home province Vice President Campaign Ref

Fernando Villavicencio
11 October 1963

9 August 2023
(aged 59)
Member of the National Assembly
(2021–2023)
Chimborazo Andrea González Náder Endorsed by:
MC25
Announced:
17 May 2023
Concluded:
9 August 2023
[19][20]

Declined

[change | change source]
Date Pollster Participants Margin
of error
Daniel Noboa Luisa González Blank Null Undecided
14 October Omar Maluk [26][27] 16,486 3% 50.9% 49.1% ---
47.8% 46.1% 6.1% --
15 October [projection] CIT Peru[28] 1,200 2,8% 49,14% 50,86% ---
50,42% 49,52% ---
12 October 45% 44,02% 10,8% ---
10 October Dado Duro EC[29] 1,485 2,8% 38.6% 39.6% 12.4% 9.3%
9 October Negocios & Estratégias [30] 1,000 3.1% 49.94% 50.06% ---
6 October Six suspects in the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio are killed in Guayaquil Pennitenciary.[31]
5 October Omar Maluk[32] 11,235 3% 48.9% 51.1% ---
4 October NEO Consulta[33] 3,750 1.6% 48.9% 51.1% ---
4 October Negocios & Estratégias[34] 3,000 1.8% 44% 42.8% 5.3% 7.8%
1 October Official Second Round Presidential Debate is held in Quito.
15 September Omar Maluk[35] 8,000 2% 52.3% 47.7%
10 September Comunicaliza[36] 5,381 1.3% 39.7% 34.0% 11.8% 14.4%
6 September Click Report[37] 3,040 3% 55.2% 44.8%
45.8% 37.2% 12.5% 4.5%
5 September NEO Consulta[38] 2,100 2.1% 49.6% 50.4%
42.0% 42.7% 8.6% 6.7%
2 September Comunicaliza[39] 6,002 1.3% 54.9% 45.1% 12.9%
43.1% 35.4% 8.6%

First round

[change | change source]
Date Pollster Participants Margin of error Noboa González Sonnenholzner Pérez Villavicencio Zurita Hervas Topić Armijos Blank Null Undecided
2023 general election 20 August 2023 23.47% 33.61% 7.06% 3.97% 16.37% 0.49% 14.67% 0.36% 2.04 6.77
11–12 August Comunicaliza[40] 3,641 1.62% 3.3% 24.9% 8.2% 5.8% 14.5% 1.6% 21.7% 0.3% 9.5% 10.2%
9 August Fernando Villavicencio is assassinated at a campaign rally in Quito and, subsequently, replaced by Zurita.
9 August Cedatos[41] 1,803 3.1% 3.7% 35.4% 7.5% 11.9% 18.4% 4.1% 18% 0.9%
2.5% 24% 5.1% 8.1% 12.5% 2.8% 12.2% 0.6% 11.9% 2.8% 17.5%
6 August Click Report[42] 3,040 3% 6.8% 29.3% 9.2% 14.4% 7.5% 6.8% 9.6% 6.8% 16.9% 3.2%
5 August Telcodata[43] 6,600 1.2% 2.0% 30.5% 6.5% 7.7% 6.8% 1.6% 13.1% 0.2% 7.6% 23.8%
2 August IPSOS[43] 2,490 1.96% 4% 29% 16% 10% 12% 5% 9% 1% 11% 5%
2 August Telcodata[44] 6,631 1.2% 2.1% 29.8% 7.7% 8.8% 7.4% 2.2% 10.1% 0.3% 7.5% 23.9%
27 July Tracking[45] 1,250 5% 3.2% 23.2% 19.4% 10.1% 9.2% 4.5% 3.8% 0.7% 14.1% 2.6% 9.2%
26 July Comunicaliza[46] 3,539 1.7% 4.2% 28.6% 12.6% 8.1% 9.2% 4.4% 4.4% 0.5% 13.6% 14.5%
23 July Agustín Intriago, Mayor of Manta, is assassinted.
20 July Estrategas Infinity[47] 1,549 2.5% 3.1% 30.9% 11.9% 10.0% 7.8% 5.0% 5.2% 0.3% 11.9% 3.0% 11.0%
18 July Cedatos[48] 1,300 3.1% 4.4% 26.6% 7.5% 12.5% 13.2% 6.0% 3.2% 0.5% 2.6% 16.1% 7.6%
9 July Numma[49] 1,604 2.7% 6.4% 33.8% 17.5% 15.1% 10.2% 6.9% 8.5% 1.6%
3–9 July Tracking[50] 1,250 5% 4.6% 24.2% 15.2% 11.5% 8.0% 5.4% 4.5% 0.6% 10.3% 15.3%
20 June–8 July Omar Maluk[51] 7,106 3% 4.4% 40.1% 14.7% 13.6% 9.1% 10.3% 7.1% 0.6%
3.7% 33.8% 12.4% 11.5% 7.7% 8.7% 6.0% 0.5% 5.9% 9.8%
5–6 July Comunicaliza[52] 3,314 1.7% 4.5% 26.8% 12.8% 10.3% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 0.1% 12.1% 14.1%
26 June–3 July Metria[53] 1,200 2.8% 3.1% 37.8% 18.2% 11.0% 7.5% 1.7% 6.5% ›1% 10.1% 4.0%
22–26 June Negocios & Estrategias[54][55] 3,524 1.7% 4% 52% 14% 13% 4% 9% 5% 0%
3% 41% 11% 10% 7% 3% 4% 0% 21%
1% 30% 8% 8% 5% 2% 2% 0% 6% 38%
23–26 June Mercanalis[56] 4,000 3% 7% 38% 9% 12% 10% 8% 14% 2%
5% 27% 6% 9% 7% 5% 10% 1% 12% 18%
20–24 June Data Encuesta[57][58] 4,200 3.4% 5.2% 28.1% 9.6% 16.6% 9.3% 7.3% 14.8% 9.1%
19–20 June Estrategas Infinity[59] 3,645 1.62% 4.3% 28.0% 9.9% 8.8% 8.3% 6.1% 2.5% 0.5% 3.9% 15.9% 11.8%
16–18 June Comunicaliza[60] 3,656 1.62% 3.8% 25.9% 11.2% 10.3% 8.0% 6.2% 2.6% 0.4% 13.2% 18.4%
5–9 June Data Encuesta[61] 4,800 3.4% 4.2% 27.8% 7.6% 14.8% 7.1% 6.2% 14.2% 17.9%
CandidateRunning matePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Luisa GonzálezAndrés ArauzCitizen Revolution Movement3,315,66333.614,700,97247.90
Daniel NoboaVerónica Abad RojasNational Democratic Action2,315,29623.475,112,68352.10
Christian ZuritaAndrea González NáderMovimiento Construye1,614,43416.37
Jan TopićDiana Jácome SilvaPor Un País Sin Miedo1,446,81214.67
Otto SonnenholznerErika Paredes SánchezActuemos696,5487.06
Yaku PérezNory Pinela MoránClaro Que Se Puede391,6743.97
Xavier HervasLuz Marina Vega ConejoRETO Movement48,4280.49
Bolívar ArmijosLinda Romero EspinozaAMIGO Movement35,7850.36
Total9,864,640100.009,813,655100.00
Valid votes9,864,64091.17
Invalid/blank votes954,8358.83
Total votes10,819,475100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,045,55382.94
Source: CNE

References

[change | change source]
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