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45th Canadian federal election

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45th Canadian federal election

← 2021 On or before 20 October 2025 (2025-10-20)
← List of House members of the 44th Parliament of Canada

338 seats in the House of Commons[a]
170 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Prime Minister Trudeau's message on Christmas 2023 (0m29s) (cropped).jpg
Pierre Poilievre in 2023 (edited).jpg
Yves-François Blanchet in October 2009.jpg
Leader Justin Trudeau Pierre Poilievre Yves-François Blanchet
Party Liberal Conservative Bloc Québécois
Leader's seat Papineau Carleton Beloeil—Chambly
Last election 160 seats, 32.62% 119 seats, 33.74% 32 seats, 7.64%
Current seats 159 119 32
Seats needed Increase 11 Increase 51 N/A[b]

 
Jagmeet Singh in Brantford 2022 (cropped).jpg
Elizabeth May 2014 (cropped).jpg
Maxime Bernier portrait by Yan Parisien 2023.png
Leader Jagmeet Singh Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier
Party New Democratic Green People's
Leader's seat Burnaby South N/A[d] N/A[c]
Last election 25 seats, 17.82% 2 seats, 2.33% 0 seats, 4.94%
Current seats 25 2 0
Seats needed Increase 145 Increase 168 Increase 170

Incumbent Prime Minister

Justin Trudeau
Liberal



The 45th Canadian federal election will take place on or before 20 October 2025 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

The date of the election is not yet known.[1] Since the current government is a minority government, the election can happen before the scheduled date if the Governor General of Canada dissolves Parliament or at the recommendation of the Prime Minister of Canada for a snap election.[2][3][4]

Current seats

[change | change source]
Name Ideology Position Leader 2021 result Current standing
Votes (%) Seats
Liberal Liberalism
Social liberalism
Centre to centre-left Justin Trudeau
32.62%
160 / 338
159 / 338
Conservative Conservatism
Economic liberalism
Fiscal conservatism
Centre-right to right-wing Pierre Poilievre
33.74%
119 / 338
119 / 338
Bloc Québécois Quebec nationalism Centre-left Yves-François Blanchet
7.64%
32 / 338
32 / 338
New Democratic Social democracy
Democratic socialism
Centre-left to left-wing Jagmeet Singh
17.82%
25 / 338
25 / 338
Green Green politics Amita Kuttner
(Interim)
2.33%
2 / 338
2 / 338
Independents N/A
0.19%
0 / 338
1 / 338

Opinion polling

[change | change source]
The current opinion polling for the 45th Canadian federal election
  1. A redistribution is required to take effect by 2024, which will increase the number of seats.
  2. Though parties registered with Elections Canada can field candidates in any riding they wish, the Bloc Québécois has never fielded candidates outside of Quebec (78 seats). Thus they currently cannot gain a majority in parliament.
  3. Ran in Beauce, lost.
  4. Ran in Burnaby North—Seymour in 2019, lost. Kuttner did not run in 2021.

References

[change | change source]
  1. "Amendment to Canada Elections Act". Queen's Printer for Canada. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on August 5, 2011. Retrieved July 29, 2011.
  2. Aiello, Rachel (October 24, 2019). "Split opposition means stronger minority for Liberals, experts say". CTV News. Retrieved October 25, 2019.
  3. Harris, Kathleen (October 21, 2020). "Snap election averted as Liberal government survives confidence vote in Commons". CBC News. Retrieved November 26, 2020.
  4. Coyne, Andrew (October 28, 2020). "What, exactly, is a non-confidence vote? Parliament should get to decide". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved November 26, 2020.