Opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election

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This article covers opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election.

Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, and other pollsters.

Those who win outright are in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.

Survey details[change | change source]

Date/s administered Pollster Sample size Margin of error Major issues when poll was administered
Mar 6–10, 2024[1][2] Pulse Asia 1,200 ±2.8% \
Dec 10–14, 2023[3] OCTA Research 1,200 ±3.0%
Apr 15–18, 2023[4] SWS 1,200 ±3.0%


Per candidate[change | change source]

By voter preferences[change | change source]

2023–24[change | change source]

Candidate Party Apr 15–18, 2023
SWS[4]
Dec 10–14, 2023
OCTA Research[3]
Mar 6–10, 2024
Pulse Asia[1]

Benjamin Abalos Jr. PFP 8% 18% 12.9%
Bam Aquino Liberal 7% 17.3%
Herbert Bautista NPC 8% 11.0%
Abigail Binay Independent 29.1%
Jejomar Binay UNA 15% 25%
Pia Cayetano Nacionalista 23% 30% 37.7%
Dingdong Dantes Independent 10.9%
Ronald dela Rosa PDP–Laban 9% 47% 33.2%
Chel Diokno KANP 7% 11.2%
Franklin Drilon Liberal 8% 16.1%
Paolo Duterte HNP 13.1%
Rodrigo Duterte PDP–Laban 25% 47.7%
Sebastian Duterte HNP 13.5%
Guillermo Eleazar Reporma 7% 10.4%
Ted Failon Independent 14.6%
Rex Gatchalian NPC 10%
Bong Go PDP–Laban 20% 53% 44.2%
Richard Gomez PFP 7% 11.6%
Dick Gordon Bagumbayan–VNP 6% 14.8%
Gregorio Honasan Independent 10% 18% 17.5%
Panfilo Lacson Independent 16% 32% 28.6%
Lito Lapid NPC 17% 20% 25.4%
Imee Marcos Nacionalista 18% 42% 33.1%
Isko Moreno Aksyon 14% 32% 31.5%
Willie Ong Aksyon 17% 24.6%
Manny Pacquiao PROMDI 19% 28% 33.7%
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 8% 22.2%
Ralph Recto Nacionalista 7% 18.8%
Bong Revilla Lakas 13% 35% 29.6%
Willie Revillame Independent 18% 25.9%
Leni Robredo Liberal 10% 13.6%
Mar Roxas Liberal 10% 13.6%
Tito Sotto NPC 18% 48% 51.8%
Vico Sotto Independent 18%
Gilbert Teodoro PRP 5% 19% 15.2%
Francis Tolentino PDP–Laban 6% 33% 16.7%
Antonio Trillanes Liberal 6% 13.0%
Ben Tulfo Independent 30.5%
Erwin Tulfo Independent 32% 76% 57.1%
Don't know 3% 3.5%
Refused 4% 1.7%
None 7% 1.0%
Invalid votes (13 or more names)

By ranking[change | change source]

2023–24[change | change source]

Candidate Party Apr 15–18, 2023
SWS[4]
Dec 10–14, 2023
OCTA Research[3]
Mar 6–10, 2024
Pulse Asia[1]

Benjamin Abalos Jr. PFP 20–23 13–24 21–37
Bam Aquino Liberal 24–28 18–28
Herbert Bautista NPC 20–23 24–40
Abigail Binay Independent 6–16
Jejomar Binay UNA 11 10–13
Pia Cayetano Nacionalista 3 6–12 5–7
Dingdong Dantes Independent 24–40
Ronald dela Rosa PDP–Laban 18–19 3–5 5–13
Chel Diokno KANP 24–28 24–40
Franklin Drilon Liberal 20–23 18–31
Paolo Duterte HNP 21–36
Rodrigo Duterte PDP–Laban 2 2–4
Sebastian Duterte HNP 19–36
Guillermo Eleazar Reporma 24–28 26–40
Ted Failon Independent 18–35
Rex Gatchalian NPC 14–17
Bong Go PDP–Laban 4 2–3 3–4
Richard Gomez PFP 24–28 23–40
Dick Gordon Bagumbayan–VNP 29–34 18–35
Gregorio Honasan Independent 14–17 13–24 18–28
Panfilo Lacson Independent 10 6–11 6–16
Lito Lapid NPC 9 12–22 10–17
Imee Marcos Nacionalista 6–8 4–5 6–13
Isko Moreno Aksyon 12 6–11 6–13
Willie Ong Aksyon 13–28 11–17
Manny Pacquiao PROMDI 5 7–12 5–13
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 20–23 14–18
Ralph Recto Nacionalista 24–28 17–25
Bong Revilla Lakas 13 6–10 6–16
Willie Revillame Independent 13–24 10–17
Leni Robredo Liberal 14–17 19–36
Mar Roxas Liberal 14–17 19–36
Tito Sotto NPC 6–8 2–4 1–3
Vico Sotto Independent 6–8
Gilbert Teodoro PRP 35–38 13–24 18–32
Francis Tolentino PDP–Laban 29–34 6–11 18–31
Antonio Trillanes Liberal 29–34 21–37
Ben Tulfo Independent 6–15
Erwin Tulfo Independent 1 1 1–2

Per party[change | change source]

  • Parties (excluding independents) with the plurality of seats in boldface.
  • Parties (excluding independents) with the majority of seats are shaded by the party color.

Seats won[change | change source]

  • Totals may not add up to 12 due to margin of error.
Date Pollster
Ind
2024
Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia[1] 1 0 1 0 2 1 3 0 0 1 0 3
2023
Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA Research[3] 1 0 1 0 2 2 3 0 0 1 1 2
Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS[4] 1 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 1 1 3

Seats after the election[change | change source]

Totals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.

Date Pollster
Ind
2024
Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia[1] 1 1 0 1 0 3 5 4 0 0 1 1 0 7
2023
Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA Research[3] 1 1 0 1 0 3 6 4 0 0 1 1 1 6
Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS[4] 1 1 0 0 0 3 6 3 0 0 1 1 1 7

Per coalition[change | change source]

Coalitions are expected to release 12-person slates for the election by the start of campaigning on February 2025. On this section will be the surveys done after that day.

Date Pollster Others
Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia[1] 3
Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS[4] 3

Sources[change | change source]

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 "March 2024 Nationwide Survey on 2025 Senatorial Election". Pulse Asia. March 6–10, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
  2. "Pulse Asia: Erwin Tulfo, Tito Sotto, Rodrigo Duterte top latest senatorial poll". GMA Network. April 2, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 De Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (January 2, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo still top bet for 2025 senatorial race — OCTA". Manila Bulletin. Retrieved March 29, 2024.
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 "SWS confirms survey for Mr. Arnel Ty on voting preferences for Senators (aided)". SWS. June 13, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.